Platinum Demand Falling

In my previous article about platinum I pointed out it was time to trade gold for platinum. You would think that the time has come again to buy platinum, but I fear that the automobile industry is deteriorating again.

Rhodium prices keep falling and I already said that this means that this indicates that demand for vehicles in the automotive industry is dropping. The correlation between rhodium and the automotive industry was discussed in this article. 

If we look at the platinum to gold ratio (Chart 1) we see that the trend is going down. It is now at a platinum/gold ratio of 0.9. Historically platinum should be more expensive as gold but these days people are fleeing out of industrial commodities and into the safe asset of gold.

Chart 1: Platinum to Gold Ratio

However, during Q1 of 2012 investment demand recovered by 63,000 troy ounces. So a turnaround in platinum is possible.

Analysis of Deficits to Outlay Spending Ratio

I already talked about how the U.S. budget deficit is skyrocketing in this article. Reason was that outlay spending has outpaced government tax revenues since 2008.

I decided to make another chart of this going to the early 1980's. As James Turk stated, when governments start to borrow more than 40% to fund their outlay spending, then we have come to a hyperinflationary scenario.

To see what this chart means, go to: the full version of this article.

Chart 1: Deficits (+)/Surplus (-) versus Outlay Spending Ratio

Goldonomic.com: About Hyperinflation

Just found an interesting site that gives information about the correlation between hyperinflation and money velocity.

=> http://www.goldonomic.com/inflation.htm

The key measure to follow is money velocity of the broad measures of money supply M3 or MZM (which resembles M3). When money velocity spikes, hyperinflation has set in as people scramble for tangible assets.

Froom Goldonomic.com:
"Hyperinflation starts when the public is unwilling to hold the money for more than the time it is needed to trade it for something tangible to avoid further loss. A good indicator that Hyperinflation has started will be a sudden increase in the Velocity of Money. [ P = M x V ]. This alone can increase the general level of prices. Even with a falling M3!"


So be warned, when the following graph spikes up, it's time to get into real tangible assets! You can see that in 1980 we had the hyperinflationary crisis where gold spiked into a bubble when everyone feared inflation.

Chart 1: MZM Money Stock

Deflation Starts, Followed by Hyperinflation: Swiss Government Bonds Yields Hitting New Low

This article is meant to give a status update on the economy and in particular money supply. We will see that deflation is starting to show up. I will focus ono bonds, foreign exchanges, precious metals, money supply and personal savings.

To see the full analysis, go here:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/614231-deflation-sets-in-hyperinflation-to-follow

J.P. Morgan crashing on high volume, silver manipulation over

J.P. Morgan is crashing on high volume as losses keep piling up. After 2 billion last week, it hit 3 billion this week and I think it will keep increasing.

Chart 1: J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

This interview with Bix Weir discusses the squeeze in J.P. Morgan. 

As Max Keiser points out how the silver market is being manipulated by J.P. Morgan, finally, we see a weakening J.P. Morgan. As all banks were up today, J.P. Morgan was the only bank going down, with news about the cancellation of a share repurchase program. They won't even buy their own shares anymore.

As J.P. Morgan weakens, I predict that the silver price will be unleashed to the upside once the black swan appears.

George Soros Quadruples Gold (GLD) Holdings

If you don't believe in the bottom in gold yet, then here is the ultimate evidence of gold hitting the bottom.

George Soros, who calls the gold an "ultimate bubble", has quadrupled his SPDR Gold holdings (GLD). Likewise, David Morgan recently bought the bottom in silver.

I'd say: let's follow the gurus.

James Turk and John Embry on Gold

An interview between James Turk and John Embry on 18 May 2012 in Jersey, Channel Islands.

They talk about how the gold price has been going down, however counterintuitive it may seem.