vrijdag 31 maart 2023

30 year bond to 10 year bond ratio Vs. Gold

The TYX to TNX ratio leads the gold price as it shows the market's expectation for inflation.

zondag 26 maart 2023

Break-even cost curves

Thread about cost curves

Silver:



Zinc:


Copper:


Uranium:


Tin:


Oil:


Gold:



Iron ore:


Platinum:


Palladium:



Potash:


Lithium:


Spodumene:


Thermal coal:

Met coal: (2024)

Natural gas:








vrijdag 24 maart 2023

Repo is back!

Gold typically does well when the Fed injects repo liquidity.


China Oil Consumption Vs. GDP per capita

As China's GDP per capita rises, energy consumption will rise and some of that will need to be oil.



donderdag 23 maart 2023

Lithium cost curve

How low will lithium drop? Look at the cost curve.




FOMC Meeting

New dot plot:

Old dot plot:


 

dinsdag 21 maart 2023

zaterdag 18 maart 2023

donderdag 16 maart 2023

woensdag 15 maart 2023

Oil demand supply

Oil demand is soft in Q1 but is expected to rise until the end of the year.


dinsdag 14 maart 2023

Bank unrealized losses

Unrealized losses for several banks. 


CDS spreads in basispoints you need to pay to protect yourself against default.






vrijdag 10 maart 2023

Energy Material Demand for Green Revolution

We will need a lot of copper, aluminum, lithium and steel. 


donderdag 2 maart 2023

JP Morgan COMEX Silver Vs. Silver Price

This is a very unusual correlation between JP Morgan registered silver at COMEX Vs. silver price.