There is this Gold Money Index that gives the fair price of gold. (James Turk)
Central bank foreign exchange reserves (USD)
Gold Money Index = ----------------------------------------------------------------------
Central Bank Gold Reserves (ounces)
I quickly took some numbers from Wikipedia for foreign exchange reserves:
China 3197 billion USD
Japan 1137 billion USD
Eurozone 886 billion USD
Russia 510 billion USD
Saudi Arabia 456 billion USD
...
Total ~ 12000 billion USD
Then I quickly took some numbers from Wikipedia for gold reserves in central banks:
USA 8133 tonnes
Germany 3401 tonnes
Italy 2452 tonnes
France 2435 tonnes
China 1054 tonnes
Switzerland 1040 tonnes
India 946 tonnes
Russia 836 tonnes
...
Total ~ 1000 million ounces of gold
Gold Money Index = 12000 billion USD / 1000 million ounces = 12000 USD/ounce
So basically we have a gold price of 1500 USD/ounce today and are supposed to have a fair price of 12000 USD/ounce of gold. That's an eightfold increase in the gold price. If what James Turk says is a good valuation of gold, then we're in for a big ride upwards.
To learn more about the Gold Money Index, please go to:
Gold Money Index
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