dinsdag 30 april 2024

Commodity Flows

Commodities are nowhere near bubble territory.



zondag 28 april 2024

Bonds are Trash

Interest payments as a % of total U.S. debt have bottomed out (red line). It is projected that in 2030, you'll be paying 2 trillion interest on 40 trillion debt per year. 

The red chart is correlated to bond yields. Bonds are called trashuries for a reason.




zaterdag 27 april 2024

Flash PMI S&P Global Vs. Unemployment Rate

The flash PMI from S&P Global gives a leading indicator for the U.S. unemployment rate.






 

vrijdag 26 april 2024

Zinc TC Rates: Going in a bull market

Zinc deficits are coming. TC rates are falling. 


donderdag 25 april 2024

Stagflation: Oil Vs. Gold

We are headed into stagflation.


Best performing asset is gold.


Not oil.

Stagflation is trending.



woensdag 24 april 2024

HUI gold miners Vs. FCF yield

Based on FCF yields, gold miners are undervalued. 


China FX Outflows Vs. Gold Premium

When Chinese flee FX market, they flock into gold. 


maandag 22 april 2024

zondag 21 april 2024

vrijdag 19 april 2024

maandag 8 april 2024

J.P. Morgan

When J.P. Morgan became a custodian on 06-Dec-2022, gold and GLD diverged.


maandag 1 april 2024

Copper looks bearish

Copper isn't looking too good.

Bonded copper premiums aren't high.


 LME is trading below SHFE.


Scrap copper isn't looking good.


Inventories are rising.



Copper social financing dip.



COFER Data Shows USD losing luster

COFER data shows the U.S. dollar is losing share.