Posts tonen met het label overnight. Alle posts tonen
Posts tonen met het label overnight. Alle posts tonen

vrijdag 21 mei 2021

Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements Vs. Effective Fed Funds Rates

Whenever the effective Fed funds rate drops too much, the Federal Reserve will conduct overnight reverse repurchase agreements where it will sell treasury securities to the market in exchange for cash. This will push up the Fed funds rate temporarily.

A rise in overnight reverse repurchase agreements (RRP) indicates that there is too much liquidity and tells us that the U.S. dollar is about to get weaker on lower Fed funds rate pressure. When banks have too many reserves, this harms their capital ratios as reserves have a non-interest expense to it. 

For example, In May 2021, there was an excess amount of bank reserves parked at the Fed (and increased cost associated with it), pressuring the Fed funds rate lower and the IOER higher. The RRP purchases skyrocketed to keep a lid on excess reserves. There is a counterparty limit of $80 billion. 

donderdag 12 juli 2012

ECB Overnight Deposits Drop by more than Half

As I already predicted in this article, the ECB overnight deposit dropped. It didn't drop by a bit, it dropped  in HALF and it's not a glitch.

Now where will this 500 Billion Euro go, I wonder. I'll keep you posted, stay tuned.

They could go to: bonds, gold, real estate, land, overseas currencies.

500 billion euro is not a little bit of money, it is huge. The financial stimulus in 2008 was comparable to this 500 billion euro. You can buy a lot with this money. Deutsche Bank is only 20 billion euro in market cap. The whole silver market is only worth 20 billion euro. Even Citigroup is worth only 50 billion euro.

So I expect something big to happen in the equity markets and especially in the precious metals market.

Chart 1: ECB overnight deposits