Michael Pento shares his secret model.
- List of Correlations
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- % Debt Held by Foreigners
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- Deficit
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- Freight Vs. GDP
- Inventory Vs. GDP
- PCE Vs. GDP
- GDP Vs. Trade Balance
- GDP Vs. 10 Year Bond Yield
- GDP Vs. PMI
- Profits Vs. Employment
- Employment-Population Ratio Vs. Wages
- Employment-Population Ratio Vs. GDP per Capita
- Unemployment Vs. GDP
- Part-time Employment
- Productivity Vs. CPI
- Output Gap Vs. CPI
- Taylor Rule Rate Vs. Gold
- PPI/CPI/PCE
- Retail Sales Vs. CPI
- 2 Year Vs. LIBOR/SOFR Vs. Fed Funds Rate
- Loan Growth Vs. Fed Funds Rate
- Fed Funds Rate Vs. CPI
- Fed Funds Rate Vs. Unemployment
- Delinquencies Vs. Unemployment
- Delinquency Vs. Fed Funds Rate
- Labor Force Vs. Unemployment
- Non-Farm Payrolls Vs. Unemployment
- Quits Rate Vs. Wage Inflation
- Wage Inflation Vs. Unemployment
- Wage Inflation Vs. CPI
- M2 Vs. CPI
- Capacity Utilization Vs. CPI
- Capacity Utilization Vs. Unemployment
- New Homes Vs. Rents
- Lumber Vs. Housing
- Savings Vs. Housing
- Housing Starts Vs. Unemployment
- Initial Jobless Claims Vs. S&P
- Consumer Sentiment Vs. S&P
- Durable Goods Orders Vs. S&P
- Building Permit Vs. Housing
- Construction Vs. Housing
- Adjustable Mortgage Vs. Fed Funds Rate
- Fixed Mortgage Rates Vs. 30 Year Bond Yield
- MZM Vs. 10 Year Bond Yield
- Gold Vs. 10 Year Bond Yield
- Dow/Gold Ratio
- GOFO Vs. Gold
- Gold/Silver COMEX
Posts tonen met het label Michael. Alle posts tonen
Posts tonen met het label Michael. Alle posts tonen
donderdag 25 mei 2023
donderdag 6 maart 2014
Michael Pento Mid-Week Reality Check
Michael Pento's intermezzi are very fun to listen to. This latest version is particularly emotional.
Summary:
- He is 70% in cash
- He has some gold
- He has some short positions
- He expects a market sell-off
- He expects end of tapering by mid 2014
- He sees macroeconomic indicators plunging: GDP, ADP, ISM, NFP ... Indeed, the bullandbearwise index, which monitors macroeconomic trends, is down considerably.
- We will see the U.S. dollar plunge if tapering ends and we see it right now as the U.S. dollar is now rolling over as you can see on this chart:
- U.S. bonds will not be the place to stay in, on a declining U.S. dollar.
Summary:
- He is 70% in cash
- He has some gold
- He has some short positions
- He expects a market sell-off
- He expects end of tapering by mid 2014
- He sees macroeconomic indicators plunging: GDP, ADP, ISM, NFP ... Indeed, the bullandbearwise index, which monitors macroeconomic trends, is down considerably.
- We will see the U.S. dollar plunge if tapering ends and we see it right now as the U.S. dollar is now rolling over as you can see on this chart:
- U.S. bonds will not be the place to stay in, on a declining U.S. dollar.
maandag 24 juni 2013
Michael Pento's Outlook
Michael Pento's view on the market and Ben Bernanke's "Tapering".
donderdag 20 juni 2013
Warning: Deflation is on the horizon
As we know, Ben Bernanke sinked the markets yesterday and this has consequences.
As the premium on silver of some silver miners soars to 30%, we are getting to a point where mining companies are actually losing money, especially when they have mining projects in development. At these prices, nobody is going to invest in exploration companies as they would lose money in doing so.
On the other front, namely bonds, we see the U.S. treasury market decline in price while yields rise.
These high yields in bonds and mortgage yields will in turn crash the stock market and the housing market respectively, if the Federal Reserve stops its monetary easing.
These events are very deflationary, if Ben Bernanke doesn't up its QE, we will need to position ourselves in deflationary assets like cash and bonds.
Michael Pento warns for deflation in this status update.
http://www.pentoport.com/mp3/MRC130619.mp3
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