vrijdag 7 september 2018

Gold/silver price Vs. Oil price

When we chart the Silver/Gold price minus Oil price, we can have a good idea on the margins of the precious metal miners although oil costs are just a small part of the overall costs (only 10% of AISC). As you can see here, the trend has been higher since 2014.

=> Producer Price Index by Industry: Gold Ore and Silver Ore Mining - Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma


The HUI index though (miners), has not been following the correlation since 2014. This is because the gold and silver price has been breaking down lately and sentiment is not positive. Other costs like development costs due to lower grade ore could also have a negative impact. Nevertheless, the chart above is a good indicator for the health of mining companies (comparing the gold/silver price against the oil price).


Energy costs are just 10% of the total AISC costs of a miner. So it doesn't have a significant effect on the overall costs in mining. Miners with a high strip ratio and open pit mines have more exposure to energy costs.



When we look at the revolution in Electric Vehicles (EV), we notice that gasoline consumption will drop (gasoline demand/price goes down) and EV demand will go up (silver demand/price will go up).




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