dinsdag 17 maart 2020

Oil is going much lower

The equilibrium price of Brent oil is around $20/barrel. The only way to get oil back up is to get demand higher. Trump could buy up 3 billion barrels per day for example. This would quickly push up the price to $40/barrel.

Some say global oil demand is set to plunge by more than 10 percent from the typical 100-million-bpd consumption, as the raging coronavirus pandemic forces countries into lockdown. This is according to the world’s biggest independent oil trader, Vitol. This would push the oil price to $3/barrel.

On top of that, Trump is not going to bailout oil producers by increasing strategic oil reserves. 



Update: China is now buying oil to prop up its oil reserves. This will push up oil prices.
Update 2: Trump is meeting with Saudi Arabia and Russia and we could see 10 million barrels production cuts.

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