zaterdag 28 januari 2012

Chinese buying copper

At the London Metal Exchange (LME) the copper stock levels keep declining as can be seen on following graph:
LME copper warehouse
LME Copper warehouse level
The Chinese were importing copper at record levels during December 2011 to restock their inventory. There has been a concern that in 2012, there will be a copper deficit, which resulted into this buying frenzy.

As a result we can see that since September 2011 the copper price was going up, just at the same time that LME stock levels were going down.

copper price
Copper price

I can't blame the Chinese to buy copper, they want real assets and not some US government paper, which they are dumping by the way as can be seen on following graph:

China US treasury
China US treasury holdings

I think the buying frenzy is not over yet, as China is positioning itself to create competition against the London Metals Exchange in June 2012. On that date China will open the Pan Asia Gold Exchange, also known as PAGE, challenging the LME and COMEX.

I predict that gold and silver will explode on that event. Interesting times will emerge later in 2012, so prepare accordingly by buying precious metals!

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