zaterdag 21 januari 2012

USD is losing reserve currency status

It is apparent in the timeline below that the whole world is trying to back away from the "reserve currency" of today: the US Dollar. More and more political games are going to be played and this will eventually result in the Great War of our century (as Gerald Celente calls it). It all started in end 2010 but the games are accelerating. If you pay attention to the countries involved, you will see that Asia itself is trying to create an Asian reserve currency.

Here's what is happening:

  • 24 November 2010: Russia and China want to back away from the USD to lessen their dependencies on the US dollar. They will try using their own currencies for settlement.
  • 24 July 2011: China wants to export their goods to Iran in exchange for oil. Thereby bypassing the USD and US financial sanctions. (that is also why USA is trying to go to war with Iran, just to make it more difficult for the Chinese)
  • 25 December 2011: China and Japan promote direct trading in yuan and yen to reduce costs of USD currency interchange. Japan buys Chinese government bonds (instead of US government bonds).
  • 29 December 2011: India comes to play and wants to strenghthen bilateral trade with Japan. Thereby boosting the rupee. Japan will invest in Indian infrastructure projects.
  • 07 January 2012: Dmitri Medvedev proposes Iran and Russia to drop the USD and buy the rial and ruble in bilateral trade. Thereby ignoring U.N. sanctions imposed on trade with Iran.
  • 20 January 2012: India starts paying Iran for oil in rupees, ignoring U.N. sanctions imposed on trade with Iran. India is relying heavily on Iran's oil.

USD reserve currency
USD is losing reserve currency status




woensdag 18 januari 2012

Capacity Utilization update

The Capacity Utilization rate in the US for total industry (Dec 2011) was released today at 78.1%. This means that we're still in an uptrend, which is bullish on gold and silver.

Speaking about silver: PSLV (Sprott's silver trust) today dropped almost 10% today, I'd say this is a very good price to start accumulating physical silver.

Capacity Utilization
Capacity Utilization (BullandBearwise)


Historically when capacity utilization rates go to 80%, a year later we get a spike in inflation. So there is a high correlation between capacity utilization and inflation.

If you don't know what capacity utilization is, you can follow these two videos from Salman Khan on the capacity utilization - inflation correlation here: